Spectrum lacks some features that are required for a fully specified and consistent subnational projection program, such as an ability to enforce consistency with a given national projection and complete output by age some indicators. Software spectrum is a company acquired by level 3 communications in 2002. Some are also available in portuguese, arabic, and russian. Zhai zhenwu and chen wei are professors, center for population and development studies, renmin university of china. Therefore, this spectrum is equal to the l 2 spectrum as long as 1 for kenya and uganda using multiple methods. In cartography, a map projection is a way to flatten a globes surface into a plane in order to make a map.
This download was checked by our builtin antivirus and was rated as safe. Its an awesome piece of software with a big community behind it and updates that keep getting better. The population projection software used for this projection is the spectrum system which is a computer package that analyses existing information to determine the future consequences of todays development programs and policies. Methods the nhp began data gathering exercises in 2009 in preparation for the estimates process using unaids epp and spectrum software. Population projections are calculations of future birth rate, death rate and migration of population based on their past and present conditions. Dapps is a program designed to help users analyze and produce population projections with ease. This tutorial demonstrates how to create a simple projection in spectrum using the demographic module, demproj. The joint united nations programme on hiv and aids unaids projections of adult hiv prevalence and incidence are prepared using the spectrumestimation and projection package epp software to estimate prevalence and incidence trends from surveillance and survey data and to determine the consequences of these projections, including the number of. Computer software packages for projecting population. If you are a professional user of microcap 8 or later, you can update your version of microcap by going to the help menu in the program and selecting check for updates. Comprehensive software allows users to graph data, run reports, create custom reports, export data to excel and import other weather data. Software description spectrum is a windowsbased system of integrated policy models.
The spectrum models are used as planning tools around the world by policymakers, program managers, students, and people working in the field of public health. The demographic data was removed from the general spectrum 5. Dr easysfs is a tool for the effective selection of population size projection for construction of the site frequency spectrum. Comparative study on mortpak, spectrum and padisint.
To introduce the most important concepts and methods used for making population projections. It may be used to convert vcf to dadifastsimcoalmomi2 style sfs for demographic analysis. With them you can explore the concepts of the demographic dividend, the proximate determinants of fertility, population momentum, and family planning goals. Fertility the fertility assumption can be summarized that, the medium scenario assumes that the tfr will drop to 2. Sensitivity analysis of parameters used in spectrums aim model. Our expertise is in translating vision and concepts into commerciallyviable products. Federal democratic republic of ethiopia central statistical. The tools are simple and easy to use and each illustrates just one concept. Updates to the spectrumestimation and projection package. The demographic projection component of spectrum, demproj, is a full featured cohort component projection model. Using the component method of projection the population projection values for each region was obtained. Spectrum consists of several software models including. For the purposes of making a national hiv estimate, two spectrum modules are used.
International workshop on subnational population projections. The results of the latest 2012 world population prospects are included in spectrum and used by most national programmes for their national estimates. Fivfiv is a software program for population projection. A full set of demographic indicators can be displayed for up to 50 years into the future. Software description spectrum is a windowsbased system of integrated policy. The demographic projection component of spectrum, demproj, is a fullfeatured cohort component projection model. Estimates and projection package 2015 and spectrum fit to program data tool 2016 hiv incidence estimates among adults aged 1549 years a, model fits and country reported numbers of people leaving with hiv b and aidsrelated deaths c. The mathematical expression of the component method is as follows. Pdf projecting the demographic impact of aids and the. The most popular versions among the software users are 9. The modules linking to the onehealth tool for costing will support use of the software for strategic budget allocation. Best projection mapping software and hardware for nov 29, 2017 when it comes to a standalone projection mapping software that is easy to use, powerful, and versatile. The epp software and the spectrum model have been described in detail elsewhere.
Full spectrum software custom software solutions iec. Li long and chen jiaju are phd candidates, center for population and development studies, renmin university of. Healthmapper world health organization healthmapper is a surveillance and mapping application, developed by who, that aims to address critical surveillance information needs across infectious disease programs at national and global levels. Released in june 1980, this product was the first integrated circuit editor and logic simulation system. The futures group international has developed a computer model called spectrum with modules that can produce population projections demproj, that can project family planning program service requirements famplan and that can perform many other populationbased projections as well. Spectrummalarias userfriendly interface and intuitive display of baseline data and scenario projections holds promise to facilitate capacity building and policy dialogue in malaria programme prioritization.
Updates to the spectrumestimations and projections. It contains modules for a number of reproductive health areas. Applications of population projection in the padisint. The spectrum computer software was adopted for the projection for 9 regions and 2 city administrations, the results of which was aggregated to obtain the national projected results corresponding to the three variants used.
Find spectrum software software downloads at cnet, the most comprehensive source for safe, trusted, and spywarefree downloads on the web. Other modules interact with the demographic projection. It accomplishes this through a userfriendly spreadsheet interface for data entry and the projection power of rup. Population division has been generating estimates and projections of mortality indicators for several decades. Spectrum uses the information on population size by. Subnational population projections 10 march 2016 cheryl sawyer, lina bassarsky population estimates and projections section. Over 15,000 customers count on spectrums easy to use, dependable technology. Most models are available in english, french, and spanish. The lives saved tool list is part of spectrum, a software package which contains a suite of modules. In order to create a population projection, dapps requires at least three inputs. The hivaids projections are added to the demographic projections using a module called aids impact model. If you are a professional user of microcap 8 or later, you can update your version of microcap by going to the help menu. Spectrumestimation and projection package epp software to estimate prevalence and incidence trends from surveillance and survey data and to determine the consequences of these projections, including the number of people living with hiv by age and sex, new infections, aids deaths, aids orphans, the need for treatment and prophylaxis, and the. Cspro is a public domain software package used by organizations and individuals for entering, editing, tabulating, and disseminating census and survey data.
Demproj for the demographic projection and aim for the epidemiological projection. You can view the data source within a projection by rightclicking on a coverage estimate and selecting data source row. Create a demographic projection using data from the united nations population division. Improvements in spectrums fit to program data tool. A companion model, easyproj, supplies the data needed to make a population projection from the estimates produced by the population division of the united nations. Projecting the demographic consequences of adult hiv. Updates to the spectrumestimations and projections package. The inputs are the population by age and sex in the base year, the total fertility rate over time, the age distribution of fertility, life expectancy at birth in the absence of aids, the age pattern of mortality, and the number and distribution by age and. This course focuses on the first module of spectrumdemprojwhich, as its name implies, is used to make population projections based on demographics. Spectrum quick start tutorial 2 introduction spectrum is a policy modeling system. More detailed analysis can be done with the spectrum software. The inputs are the population by age and sex in the base year and, for all years in the projection, the total fertility rate, the age distribution of fertility, the sex ratio at birth, the life expectancy at birth in the absence of aids, the age pattern of. Create an hivaids projection using surveillance data. Stepbystep guide to setting up a national population projection in spectrum.
Apply simple mathematical models of growth to extrapolate total population. The unpd produces population estimates and projections for every country in the world every 2 years. The integration is based on demproj, which is used to create the population projections that support many of the. Using estimation and projection package and spectrum for. The median projection from these rates has been used as the uns o cial medium projection for all countries in the 2012 revision of the world population prospects, or wpp united nations, 20. This study aims to analyze the population dynamics and their role for projecting future population of bangladesh using spectrum demproj software. Linkages between list and other analytic tools allow users to modify aspects including demography, hivaids programming, and family planning determinants. Spectrum software was founded in february of 1980 to provide software for personal computers. Avenir health, formerly futures institute, was founded in 2006 as a global health organization that works to enhance social and economic development by provi. The joint united nations programme on hiv and aids unaids projections of adult hiv prevalence and incidence are prepared using the spectrumestimation and projection package epp software to estimate prevalence and incidence trends from surveillance and survey data and to determine the consequences of these projections, including the number of people living with hiv by age and. One of the earliest products was logic designer and simulator. Spectrum can be used for explorative subnational projections that can be compared and aggregated. Watch the youtube tutorial on how to use the spectrum suite of software models. Li long and chen jiaju are phd candidates, center for population and development.
It is the worlds largest microsoft large account reseller lar. The model is the main building block of the spectrum suite of computer models, originally developed by futures group to utilize demographic projections as. Full spectrum software custom software solutions iec 62304. Demproj projects the population for an entire country or region by age and sex, based on assumptions about fertility, mortality, and migration. Initially, the company concentrated on providing software for apple ii systems. Hence, the projection period was set at 20 years, from 2006 to 2026. Estimates and projection package 2015 and spectrum fit to program data tool 2016 hiv incidence estimates among adults aged 1549 years a, model fits and country reported numbers of people leaving with hiv b and aidsrelated deaths c for barbados, from 1970 to 2014. Pdf estimates for the spectrum projection operators of the.
It should be noted that, before projection, population was adjusted to midyear of 2012 using population growth rate based on estimated fertility and mortality. The inputs are the population by age and sex in the base year, the total fertility rate over time, the age distribution of fertility, life expectancy at birth in the absence of aids, the age pattern of mortality, and the. And with the release of version 3, madmapper now works on windows pcs. Several of the updates for the 2016 round of estimates are described in detail in other articles in this supplement. Census bureau, and the international institute for applied systems analysis iiasa.
Introduction to population projections an elearning course. Or simply use the medium variant available in spectrum as a starting point. The spectrum projection model for family planning service requirements spectrum policy modeling system the futures group international has developed a computer model called spectrum with modules that can produce population projections demproj, that can project family planning program service requirements famplan and that can perform many. Full spectrum software is a leading provider of software development and testing services specializing exclusively in medical devices, life sciences, digital health, robotics, iot, and artificial intelligence.
Pt population at time t, pt1 population at time t1, bt1, t births in interval from time t. The programs installer files are generally known as spectrum. Start by creating a projection, using data in spectrum. Spectrum is a suite of easy to use policy models which provide policymakers with an analytical tool to support the decision making process. Projecting the demographic impact of aids and the number of people in need of treatment. Nov 20, 2014 demographic estimates and projections. Insight enterprises purchased software spectrum from level 3 communications in september 2006. The software is based on recommendations of the unaids reference group on estimates, modelling and projec. Define and distinguish between a population projection and a population forecast. This requires a systematic transformation of the latitudes and longitudes of locations from the surface of the globe into locations on a plane. The spectrum software is also used by national programmes and the joint united. The spectrum estimations and projections package epp software is updated annually in response to new information and needs. Mortpak is a software package for demographic measurement in developing countries, with special emphasis on mortality measurement. Mortpak the united nations software package for mortality.
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